https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/if-only-dictator-dan-had-been-more-dictatorial-in-the-first-place-20200925-p55zdc.html
Very soon, the second wave coronavirus outbreak saga will come to an end. I could not stop myself discussing Victoria’s politics and defending Premier Daniel Andrews’ tough stance after the initial mishandling the debacles.
In response to a linked article in a friend‘s Timeline on the subject of Andrews’ performance, I commented as follows:
I strongly disagree that other Premiers can do a better job, or just as good as Daniel Andrews. I am not a Andrews political supporter, but what I have observed of his performance in the past months, I think he had copped enough flacks for a bad run of the outbreak.
Unlike other states, Victoria had multiple hotspots. The blame should go the mindless individuals. Ruby Princess is one big cluster, and the tracing was not as difficult since the passengers after their bad experience, they were likely to be vigilant and cooperative in assisting the authority. Many people praised NSW Premier for prompt apology about the Ruby Princess debacle, but then she apologised after the close of the inquiry. On the contrary, Andrews said sorry unreservedly just before the close of the inquiry.
The organisation structure of the DHHS is not satisfactory, and CMO Brett Sutton is three diwn from the bureaucrat who was stood down after the inaptness in hiring the private security guards. Was he sidelined by Andrews or Sutton’s superior was the problem?
On hindsight, many become expert armchair general, complaining about bad modelling. The question is, “was there a previous pandemic to assure the model used give accurate prediction?” There are so many unknowns and variables, and assumptions are made more or less blindfolded. Probably billions of dollars have been spent worldwide in weather forecasting hardware and software, and yet we can’t rely on the forecast 100%. It is unlikely that the covid-19 modelling used by Victoria, or other states, can claim to be accurate and robust. The failure of the Hotel quarantine leads to spread of infection and deaths. In any language, it boils down to the failure is related to health, and therefore the top brass of DHHS must face the music, and pays the ultimate price.
I shall resume bringing you news update and more scientific research findings about this deadly virus soon.
Thank you for reading.
In response to a linked article in a friend‘s Timeline on the subject of Andrews’ performance, I commented as follows:
I strongly disagree that other Premiers can do a better job, or just as good as Daniel Andrews. I am not a Andrews political supporter, but what I have observed of his performance in the past months, I think he had copped enough flacks for a bad run of the outbreak.
Unlike other states, Victoria had multiple hotspots. The blame should go the mindless individuals. Ruby Princess is one big cluster, and the tracing was not as difficult since the passengers after their bad experience, they were likely to be vigilant and cooperative in assisting the authority. Many people praised NSW Premier for prompt apology about the Ruby Princess debacle, but then she apologised after the close of the inquiry. On the contrary, Andrews said sorry unreservedly just before the close of the inquiry.
The organisation structure of the DHHS is not satisfactory, and CMO Brett Sutton is three diwn from the bureaucrat who was stood down after the inaptness in hiring the private security guards. Was he sidelined by Andrews or Sutton’s superior was the problem?
On hindsight, many become expert armchair general, complaining about bad modelling. The question is, “was there a previous pandemic to assure the model used give accurate prediction?” There are so many unknowns and variables, and assumptions are made more or less blindfolded. Probably billions of dollars have been spent worldwide in weather forecasting hardware and software, and yet we can’t rely on the forecast 100%. It is unlikely that the covid-19 modelling used by Victoria, or other states, can claim to be accurate and robust. The failure of the Hotel quarantine leads to spread of infection and deaths. In any language, it boils down to the failure is related to health, and therefore the top brass of DHHS must face the music, and pays the ultimate price.
I shall resume bringing you news update and more scientific research findings about this deadly virus soon.
Thank you for reading.
